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Working paper / AI infrastructure

When compute commitments become claims.

Follow the path from a request for power to a signed commitment, and from customer funding to creditor payments. The paper examines what each stage establishes.

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Follow the moneyCase / Customer funding
$300m

Estimated infrastructure funding
in the June 2024 agreement

CoreWeaveCore Scientific
← Credits against future hosting fees
CoreWeave / Core Scientific
Credits capped at half the monthly hosting fee. Announcement: 4 June 2024.

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Articles and working papers, with the evidence behind each argument.

ResearchArticle

Fifty Per Cent of What?

India's semiconductor subsidy is quoted as a single number. Its controlling instruments use different cost bases and release support against eligible expenditure, with production obligations attached.

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ResearchArticle

A Floor Under What Price?

Three rare-earth arrangements quote $110/kg. Their terms say more than the shared number about risk, while inventory and diversified supply depend on how long a disruption lasts.

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ResearchArticle

Hapag-Lloyd’s Uneven Red Sea Year

In 2024, a carrier’s late recovery left annual operating profit flat while Suez’s receipts collapsed. The accounts reveal different outcomes, not a complete allocation of the disruption’s cost.

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ResearchArticle

One rent, two pay packets

An April 2025 England budget scenario shows why the share of a pay difference left after housing depends on how many earners share the bill.

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Inside the evidence

Numbers need
their context.

A company, a reporting period, a denominator. Our investigations let you follow the calculation back to the original disclosure.

Read the paper’s accounting comparison

A longer useful life.
A measurable earnings effect.

Read the disclosed benefit against each company’s own reported net income. Both figures include the effect.

Year ended 30 June 2023

Disclosed net-income effect / reported net income

4.1%
Microsoft: the disclosed effect is 4.1% of reported net income.
Disclosed effect Reported net income (100%)
Disclosed increase in net income$3.0bn
Reported net income$72.361bn
Equipment-life revision

Four years → six years

Server and network equipment. The numerator is rounded. This ratio measures the disclosed historical accounting effect; it is not an estimate of AI profit or a share of earnings growth. Company periods and asset populations differ.

Trade and production

How Indian Is India’s Export Boom?

From 2015 to 2022, domestic value embodied in India’s exports rose by $211.8 billion in current-dollar OECD estimates. Its share of gross exports fell by 6.08 percentage points.

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India’s domestic value embodied in exports and its share of gross exports, 2015–2022. Separate scales show current USD billion and percent. In 2020, the amount fell by $4.5 billion while the share rose by 3.2 percentage points.
OECD TiVA · India’s exports to the world · 2015–2022 · Current-price estimates. A change in the domestic share does not establish real upgrading or a causal policy effect.

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