When Compute Commitments Become Claims
Electricity demand, customer credits and creditor timing.
Open the paperWorking paper / AI infrastructure
Follow the path from a request for power to a signed commitment, and from customer funding to creditor payments. The paper examines what each stage establishes.
Estimated infrastructure funding
in the June 2024 agreement
Electricity demand, customer credits and creditor timing.
Open the paperSeparate the domestic value embodied in exports from its share of gross exports.
Open the articleArticles and working papers, with the evidence behind each argument.
Customer-funded construction, fee credits and the value of timing.
Read articleEquipment-life revisions, reported earnings and the limits of extrapolation.
Read articleNorwegian financing and Andhra Pradesh incentives put different claims on public money.
Read articleElectricity demand, customer credits and creditor timing.
Read paperSeparate the domestic value embodied in exports from its share of gross exports.
Read articleThe same 56-aircraft order shows which production tasks crossed borders, and which dependencies did not
Read articleWhat remote delivery, foreign affiliates and embodied value each reveal about India
Read articleWhat company disclosures reveal about the stages of rare-earth supply that are operating, contracted, planned or still awaiting a customer
Read articleA reconstruction across 14 sectors separates money paid from factory activity, and shows why neither establishes the price of creating a job.
Read articleCleaner production can lower a carbon charge. Contracts help determine who receives the saving, and whether proving it pays.
Read articleDomestic services in manufacturing exports across four selected economies, 2015–2022
Read paperWhat company accounts, tariff studies and carbon-border contracts establish
Read paperIndia's semiconductor subsidy is quoted as a single number. Its controlling instruments use different cost bases and release support against eligible expenditure, with production obligations attached.
Read articleThree rare-earth arrangements quote $110/kg. Their terms say more than the shared number about risk, while inventory and diversified supply depend on how long a disruption lasts.
Read articleIn 2024, a carrier’s late recovery left annual operating profit flat while Suez’s receipts collapsed. The accounts reveal different outcomes, not a complete allocation of the disruption’s cost.
Read articleWhat two 2022 balance sheets reveal about goods in transit, supplier credit and customer collection
Read articleA March 2023 industrial invoice separates a charge for capacity from charges that depend on the hour of use.
Read articleA worked British connection example shows why the cost of building a link and the amount charged to its first applicant are different questions.
Read articleWhat India’s and Japan’s published bonds reveal about April 2026–March 2027
Read articleThe different clocks of a rate rise.
Read articleIndia’s 2022–23 and 2023–24 household surveys against one national-accounts vintage
Read articleTwo audited Indian company accounts show why the currency of a balance sheet, the date of a payment and the cash available to meet it must be read together.
Read articleEight observations of one private-credit holding show why a maturity extension, accrued income and an estimated recovery value must be read separately.
Read articleUSDC can move between wallets. Turning it into bank dollars, and receiving income from the assets behind it, depends on a different set of relationships.
Read articleFour US January snapshots, 2020–2026
Read articleWhat two German information experiments can—and cannot—tell us about firms that hold back
Read articleWhat experiments reveal—and leave unresolved—about the value of a qualification.
Read articleAn April 2025 England budget scenario shows why the share of a pay difference left after housing depends on how many earners share the bill.
Read articleA dated comparison of India-bound transfer quotes from the United States, United Kingdom and United Arab Emirates.
Read articleInside the evidence
A company, a reporting period, a denominator. Our investigations let you follow the calculation back to the original disclosure.
Read the paper’s accounting comparisonRead the disclosed benefit against each company’s own reported net income. Both figures include the effect.
Year ended 30 June 2023
Disclosed net-income effect / reported net income
Four years → six years
Server and network equipment. The numerator is rounded. This ratio measures the disclosed historical accounting effect; it is not an estimate of AI profit or a share of earnings growth. Company periods and asset populations differ.
Trade and production
From 2015 to 2022, domestic value embodied in India’s exports rose by $211.8 billion in current-dollar OECD estimates. Its share of gross exports fell by 6.08 percentage points.
Follow the calculation
Stay with the question